Al Faisaly 2-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 49%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.12
-100% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Arabi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 Arabi 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
11.04.2023 Arabi 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
09.11.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-3 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
2-1
AWAY Arabi
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly edged past Arabi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 43% of the ball to Arabi's 57%, shots finished 9-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arabi led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Faisaly and 2.00 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Arabi?

Al Faisaly 2-1 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 30%, draw 22%, Arabi 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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