Vipers 1-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+12.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.5pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
1-1
AWAY Maroons
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers and Maroons shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vipers at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Vipers had 61% of the ball to Maroons's 39%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Maroons?

Vipers 1-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vipers 53%, draw 25%, Maroons 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vipers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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