Chelsea (K) 4-0 Crystal Palace (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-12.8pp
18%
Draw
9%
+8.8pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.47/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.91
-2% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
45.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
25.9 Crosses 14.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace (K)
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.81 xG 0.32
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
567 Passes 181
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
56 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Crystal Palace (K) Crystal Palace (K) 0-7 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
4-0
AWAY Crystal Palace (K)
4.03 xG 0.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
30 Total Shots 0
7 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
463 Passes 146
85% Pass Accuracy 58%
64 Box Touches 4
30 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) ran out comfortable winners over Crystal Palace (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 70% of the ball to Crystal Palace (K)'s 30%, shots finished 30-0, expected goals 4.03 to 0.00.

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?

Chelsea (K) 4-0 Crystal Palace (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 72%, draw 18%, Crystal Palace (K) 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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