Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Apr 2025

Ferro Carril Oeste
0-1 HT 0-0
Atletico Atlanta
📅23/04/2025 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Atlanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
39%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.5pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferro Carril Oeste v Atletico Atlanta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.07/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.15
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Atlanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
14.05.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
15.06.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
08.12.2020 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
23.02.2020 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-1 HT 2-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
04.09.2019 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta squeezed past Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.33 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Atlanta?

Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 41%, draw 29%, Atletico Atlanta 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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