Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.74
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
13%
4.32
X/2
10%
7.84
X/X
13%
4.0
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
12%
6.78
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 27%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
0.58/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.68
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
30.8 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
17.06.2023 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
11.02.2023 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
06.04.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
1.36 xG 0.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
222 Passes 351
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia squeezed past Atletico Aldosivi 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Rivadavia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 40% of the ball to Atletico Aldosivi's 60%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 1.36 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Independiente Rivadavia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.33 for Atletico Aldosivi.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 44%, draw 29%, Atletico Aldosivi 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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