Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.29/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.12
+65% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.6 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Cuiaba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.76 xG 1.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
23.06.2024 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
22.08.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
12.05.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK
01.05.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
22.04.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-1
AWAY Cuiaba
0.98 xG 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
258 Passes 447
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense and Cuiaba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Goianiense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 38% of the ball to Cuiaba's 62%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.50 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba?

Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 42%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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