EIF 4-2 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 23 Apr 2025

EIF
4-2 HT 1-1
KaPa
📅23/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
2.46/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.38
+15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
2W-0D-0L
AWAY KaPa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.08.2023 EIF EIF 2-1 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
04.06.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 1-2 EIF EIF FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
4-2
AWAY KaPa
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH EIF vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF beat KaPa 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had EIF as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, EIF had 65% of the ball to KaPa's 35%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, EIF had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for EIF and 1.50 for KaPa.

What was the final score of EIF vs KaPa?

EIF 4-2 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a EIF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split EIF 58%, draw 20%, KaPa 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EIF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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