Le Havre (K) 2-2 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
26%
6.26
Away
57%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.2pp
26%
Draw
12%
+14.2pp
57%
Away Win
84%
-26.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.08/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.47
-100% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
7.0 Crosses 21.1
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PSG (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.18 xG 1.67
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
156 Passes 562
59% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 34
6 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
02.03.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) and PSG (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSG (K) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSG (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Le Havre (K) and 3.50 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs PSG (K)?

Le Havre (K) 2-2 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 17%, draw 26%, PSG (K) 57%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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