Leruma United 1-2 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.54
Over
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
45%
4-5
15%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leruma United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.34/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-72% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leruma United
1-2
AWAY Venda FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leruma United vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venda FC nicked a narrow win over Leruma United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; Venda FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leruma United had 59% of the ball to Venda FC's 41%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Leruma United vs Venda FC?

Leruma United 1-2 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leruma United vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venda FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leruma United 29%, draw 33%, Venda FC 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venda FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venda FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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