23/04/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-3
Skjervoy vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
Over
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
28%
4-5
28%
6+
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Tromsö win — 71% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
14%
Draw
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Skjervoy v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Skjervoy
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tromsö
EU Bookmakers 97%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
0.85/1.85
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.82/0.28
-11%
/
+75%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-14%
/
+150%
39%
Ball Possession
61%
8
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Target
8
2
Corners
6
270 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
513 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Skjervoy vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tromsö edged past Skjervoy 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Skjervoy vs Tromsö?
Skjervoy 0-1 Tromsö in the Norway - NM Cup on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Skjervoy vs Tromsö?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Skjervoy 15%, draw 14%, Tromsö 71%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tromsö)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →