Hermannstadt 2-1 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 33% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 45%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.87/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 445
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
04.11.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
16.02.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
01.10.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
04.03.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-1 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
14.10.2022 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
2-1
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt edged past Rapid Bucarest 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hermannstadt found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 42% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 58%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hermannstadt and 1.00 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs Rapid Bucarest?

Hermannstadt 2-1 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - Cup on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 36%, draw 27%, Rapid Bucarest 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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