Lamia 1-3 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
14.95
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
10%
24.2
X/1
8%
14.85
X/2
17%
3.58
X/X
11%
4.59
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
29%
1.83
2/X
6%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 69%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -72% / -72%
0.66/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.92
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
9.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
11.2 Crosses 44.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.17 xG 0.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
229 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
30.11.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
05.08.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia HAZ
17.12.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
18.08.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-2 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
24.02.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
1-3
AWAY Volos NFC
0.21 xG 1.78
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 11
216 Passes 383
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Box Touches 35
3 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC got the better of Lamia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Volos NFC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lamia had 38% of the ball to Volos NFC's 62%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.21 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lamia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lamia and 0.83 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Volos NFC?

Lamia 1-3 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Volos NFC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lamia 22%, draw 26%, Volos NFC 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volos NFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volos NFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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