Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-2 El Mansura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
31%
-7.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY El Mansura EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
0.93/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
0W-2D-1L
AWAY El Mansura
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2025 El Mansura El Mansura 1-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar MSR2
11.05.2025 El Mansura El Mansura 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar MSR2
05.01.2025 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-2 El Mansura El Mansura MSR2
POST-MATCH Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs El Mansura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Mansura nicked a narrow win over Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had El Mansura as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, El Mansura led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar and 1.00 for El Mansura.

What was the final score of Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs El Mansura?

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-2 El Mansura in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs El Mansura?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Mansura win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 23%, draw 33%, El Mansura 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Mansura) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Mansura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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