Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 1-1 Erciyes 38 FSK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.17
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.27
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.76
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
12%
5.01
X/2
15%
5.61
X/X
14%
3.65
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
4.47
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.65
Value flag · 2/X at 14.65 — our 9% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazıdağı Fosfat SK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Erciyes 38 FSK EU Bookmakers 36%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazıdağı Fosfat SK
1-1
AWAY Erciyes 38 FSK
65% Ball Possession 35%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Erciyes 38 FSK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazıdağı Fosfat SK and Erciyes 38 FSK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Mazıdağı Fosfat SK had 65% of the ball to Erciyes 38 FSK's 35%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Erciyes 38 FSK?

Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 1-1 Erciyes 38 FSK in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Erciyes 38 FSK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazıdağı Fosfat SK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 36%, draw 30%, Erciyes 38 FSK 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mazıdağı Fosfat SK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazıdağı Fosfat SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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