Sarasota Paradise 2-1 Corpus Christi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Corpus Christi EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarasota Paradise
2-1
AWAY Corpus Christi
1.63 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
375 Passes 281
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarasota Paradise nicked a narrow win over Corpus Christi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sarasota Paradise as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sarasota Paradise had 56% of the ball to Corpus Christi's 44%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.63 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?

Sarasota Paradise 2-1 Corpus Christi in the USA - USL League 1 on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarasota Paradise win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sarasota Paradise 47%, draw 23%, Corpus Christi 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarasota Paradise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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