Raith Rovers 1-2 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.66
No
61%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 33% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.67
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.67
X/2
14%
5.79
X/X
10%
4.5
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.78
2/X
6%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
21%
Draw
28%
-7.4pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-17.5pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.68
+18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
393 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ross County
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 8
08.09.2018 Ross County Ross County 5-0 HT 5-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCK
23.07.2016 Ross County Ross County 4-5 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
28.08.2012 Ross County Ross County 1-4 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
31.03.2012 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
11.02.2012 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
03.12.2011 Ross County Ross County 4-2 HT 2-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raith Rovers
1-2
AWAY Ross County
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
222 Passes 286
61% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County edged past Raith Rovers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Ross County made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Raith Rovers had 46% of the ball to Ross County's 54%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Raith Rovers and 2.67 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Ross County?

Raith Rovers 1-2 Ross County in the Scotland - Championship on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 42%, draw 21%, Ross County 38%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →