Ahlafors IF 1-0 IK Gauthiod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.35/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.84
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
2W-1D-2L
AWAY IK Gauthiod
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
23.04.2022 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 2-1 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
20.11.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 1-2 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
11.09.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-2 HT 1-2 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
09.09.2020 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-1 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahlafors IF
1-0
AWAY IK Gauthiod
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs IK Gauthiod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF edged past IK Gauthiod 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ahlafors IF had 53% of the ball to IK Gauthiod's 47%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ahlafors IF and 1.20 for IK Gauthiod.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs IK Gauthiod?

Ahlafors IF 1-0 IK Gauthiod in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs IK Gauthiod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 59%, draw 24%, IK Gauthiod 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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