Fjölnir 3-1 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.0pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 30%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
2.28/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/2.21
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.07.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
11.05.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-3 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
10.02.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZLK
22.07.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-1 HT 2-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
06.05.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
12.02.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 4-3 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fjölnir
3-1
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir got the better of Throttur Reykjavik 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fjölnir as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Fjölnir had 48% of the ball to Throttur Reykjavik's 52%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fjölnir and 2.00 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Fjölnir 3-1 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 49%, draw 24%, Throttur Reykjavik 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fjölnir), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5
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