Throttur Vogar 1-0 KFG Gardabar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+11.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.55/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.21
+60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Vogar
1W-1D-0L
AWAY KFG Gardabar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
16.09.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 2-4 HT 2-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
06.07.2023 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-1 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
POST-MATCH Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Vogar squeezed past KFG Gardabar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KFG Gardabar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Throttur Vogar had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Throttur Vogar and 1.50 for KFG Gardabar.

What was the final score of Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar?

Throttur Vogar 1-0 KFG Gardabar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFG Gardabar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Throttur Vogar 36%, draw 22%, KFG Gardabar 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KFG Gardabar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →