Aurora 1-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 23 May 2024

Aurora
1-1 HT 0-1
Bolivar
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Aurora vs Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Bolivar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.65
-41% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
21.6 Crosses 15.2
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.8

Aurora vs Bolivar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bolivar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
240 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
12.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
13.08.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
13.03.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
23.09.2021 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 3-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
15.12.2020 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ

Aurora 1-1 Bolivar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-1
AWAY Bolivar
0.34 xG 0.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
213 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora and Bolivar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aurora at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Aurora had 39% of the ball to Bolivar's 61%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.34 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aurora and 1.83 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Bolivar?

Aurora 1-1 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aurora 41%, draw 28%, Bolivar 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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