Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
1.59/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+0% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
2W-0D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 4-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
14.10.2023 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
2-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete nicked a narrow win over HNK Cibalia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Radnik Sesvete found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 56% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 44%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 0.00 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia?

Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 35%, draw 31%, HNK Cibalia 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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