Auda 0-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.56/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.16
-23% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.0 Crosses 13.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.25 xG 0.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
493 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
28.10.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
06.08.2023 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.06.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
19.04.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
01.09.2022 Auda Auda 6-1 HT 5-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
0-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.45 xG 0.49
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 1
556 Passes 134
88% Pass Accuracy 60%
42 Box Touches 6
49 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auda vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava squeezed past Auda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Auda carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Auda had 75% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 25%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.49 — on chances, Auda could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Auda and 0.17 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Auda vs FS Jelgava?

Auda 0-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Auda 61%, draw 20%, FS Jelgava 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →