Torque 2-2 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 23 May 2024

Torque
2-2 HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Uruguay Cup – 2023

Torque vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torque v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.61/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.51
+47% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +65%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.6

Torque vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
06.06.2023 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
04.03.2023 Torque Torque 0-3 HT 0-2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
14.08.2022 Torque Torque 0-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
19.02.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-3 HT 1-2 Torque Torque URU
05.02.2021 Torque Torque 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU

Torque 2-2 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
2-2
AWAY Defensor Sporting
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Torque vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque and Defensor Sporting couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Torque had 44% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 56%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Torque and 1.50 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Torque vs Defensor Sporting?

Torque 2-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torque 36%, draw 27%, Defensor Sporting 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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