Minneapolis City 0-3 St. Croix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.4pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minneapolis City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Croix EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
-43% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minneapolis City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY St. Croix
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19.06.2023 St. Croix St. Croix 2-1 HT 1-0 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
14.05.2023 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
16.07.2022 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
POST-MATCH Minneapolis City vs St. Croix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Croix ran out comfortable winners over Minneapolis City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day St. Croix made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, St. Croix led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minneapolis City and 1.33 for St. Croix.

What was the final score of Minneapolis City vs St. Croix?

Minneapolis City 0-3 St. Croix in the USA - USL League 2 on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minneapolis City vs St. Croix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minneapolis City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Minneapolis City 41%, draw 22%, St. Croix 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Minneapolis City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minneapolis City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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