Fiorentina U20 4-1 Juventus U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.25/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/2.19
+37% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventus U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 2-4 HT 0-1 Juventus U20 Juventus U20 İTAPŞ1
06.10.2024 Juventus U20 Juventus U20 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Juventus U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 cruised past Juventus U20 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 2.00 for Juventus U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Juventus U20?

Fiorentina U20 4-1 Juventus U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Juventus U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 48%, draw 22%, Juventus U20 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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