IR Reykjavik 2-0 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.32/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.02
-49% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik beat UMF Selfoss 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

IR Reykjavik 2-0 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 55%, draw 20%, UMF Selfoss 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IR Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
23 May 2025
22:15 HK Kopavogur vs Njardvik Analysis →
22:15 Keflavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 Fylkir vs Throttur Reykjavik Analysis →