FC Jazz 3-2 Tampere United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.55
2-3 Goals
34%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 31% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Jazz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampere United EU Bookmakers 38%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.31/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-83% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Jazz
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Tampere United
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 17
13 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
29.09.2023 Tampere United Tampere United 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Jazz FC Jazz FİNKAK
12.07.2023 FC Jazz FC Jazz 2-1 HT 1-0 Tampere United Tampere United FİNKAK
17.07.2022 Tampere United Tampere United 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Jazz FC Jazz FİNKAK
23.04.2022 FC Jazz FC Jazz 3-1 HT 1-1 Tampere United Tampere United FİNKAK
01.09.2019 Tampere United Tampere United 3-4 HT 3-2 FC Jazz FC Jazz FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Jazz
3-2
AWAY Tampere United
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH FC Jazz vs Tampere United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Jazz edged past Tampere United 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; FC Jazz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Jazz had 34% of the ball to Tampere United's 66%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Jazz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for FC Jazz and 1.60 for Tampere United.

What was the final score of FC Jazz vs Tampere United?

FC Jazz 3-2 Tampere United in the FİN3 on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Jazz vs Tampere United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Jazz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Jazz 40%, draw 21%, Tampere United 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Jazz), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Jazz) ✓ Over 2.5
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