Ulsan Citizen 1-0 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
0.94/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.77
-17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mokpo City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
4 Corners 4
30.03.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
06.05.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
24.09.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
22.05.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
12.09.2021 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen squeezed past Mokpo City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.50 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Ulsan Citizen 1-0 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 37%, draw 29%, Mokpo City 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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