İtalya U17 4-2 İngiltere U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U17 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere U17 EU Bookmakers 56%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U17
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İngiltere U17
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
07.05.2015 İtalya U17 İtalya U17 0-1 HT 0-0 İngiltere U17 İngiltere U17 U17
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U17
4-2
AWAY İngiltere U17
3.94 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 3
243 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
40 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İtalya U17 vs İngiltere U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U17 beat İngiltere U17 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was İngiltere U17 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, İtalya U17 had 48% of the ball to İngiltere U17's 52%, shots finished 25-17, expected goals 3.94 to 0.89.

What was the final score of İtalya U17 vs İngiltere U17?

İtalya U17 4-2 İngiltere U17 in the European U17 Championship on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U17 vs İngiltere U17?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İtalya U17 29%, draw 21%, İngiltere U17 50%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İngiltere U17) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İngiltere U17) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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