Jarfalla 4-0 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.18
Over 2.5
62%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.2pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarfalla
4-0
AWAY Gefle
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla swept aside Gefle 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 36% — and on the day Jarfalla made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, Jarfalla had 52% of the ball to Gefle's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Gefle?

Jarfalla 4-0 Gefle in the Sweden - 1st Division on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 41%, draw 22%, Gefle 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarfalla), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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