IF Karlstad II 1-4 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.95/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.82
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
09.10.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-1 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad II IF Karlstad II İSÇ4
05.06.2021 IF Karlstad II IF Karlstad II 1-3 HT 1-3 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
30.08.2020 IF Karlstad II IF Karlstad II 6-3 HT 3-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF cruised past IF Karlstad II 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for IF Karlstad II and 2.33 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors IF?

IF Karlstad II 1-4 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad II 25%, draw 31%, Ahlafors IF 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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