Kalmar 2-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.68
Over
36%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.68
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
17%
4.05
6+
8%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.68 — our 37% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.62
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.33
X/2
9%
7.68
X/X
13%
4.31
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.28
2/X
6%
15.05
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Kalmar The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors The Market 28%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.57 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.60
1.11 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.54
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.5 Crosses 23.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Degerfors
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.99 xG 0.82
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
526 Passes 358
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-3 HT 0-3 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
10.06.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
30.07.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
17.04.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
12.09.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 4-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
18.04.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
2-1
AWAY Degerfors
1.40 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
321 Passes 381
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Kalmar vs Degerfors
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kalmar came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Degerfors 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Degerfors saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.40 to 1.20.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Kalmar against 0.83 for Degerfors.

Kalmar vs Degerfors Result & Final Score

Kalmar 2-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kalmar vs Degerfors Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 49%, draw 28%, Degerfors 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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