Grotta 5-3 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grotta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.45/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
+47% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grotta
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vestri
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2026 Vestri Vestri 0-4 HT 0-4 Grotta Grotta İZK
25.03.2024 Grotta Grotta 3-0 HT 3-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
29.07.2023 Vestri Vestri 3-0 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
21.05.2023 Grotta Grotta 2-2 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
06.04.2023 Grotta Grotta 1-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZK
23.07.2022 Vestri Vestri 3-1 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
POST-MATCH Grotta vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grotta got the better of Vestri 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Grotta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grotta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grotta and 1.33 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Grotta vs Vestri?

Grotta 5-3 Vestri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grotta vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grotta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grotta 38%, draw 24%, Vestri 38%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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