SalPa Salo 4-2 TPV Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.11
2-3 Goals
25%
1.93
4-5 Goals
37%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.8pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY TPV Tampere EU Bookmakers 23%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.50/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-29% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY TPV Tampere
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.08.2021 TPV Tampere TPV Tampere 0-2 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİNKAK
17.06.2020 TPV Tampere TPV Tampere 1-4 HT 0-2 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
4-2
AWAY TPV Tampere
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs TPV Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo got the better of TPV Tampere 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SalPa Salo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 54% of the ball to TPV Tampere's 46%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for SalPa Salo and 0.50 for TPV Tampere.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs TPV Tampere?

SalPa Salo 4-2 TPV Tampere in the FİN3 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs TPV Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 53%, draw 18%, TPV Tampere 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SalPa Salo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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