Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.87/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.00
+16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 14.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
0-1
AWAY Gimhae City
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City squeezed past Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Jeonnam Dragons at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 59% of the ball to Gimhae City's 41%, shots finished 26-12.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimhae City?

Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 58%, draw 22%, Gimhae City 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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