Chindia Targoviste 3-3 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division Play-Out, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.7pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chindia Targoviste EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
217 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chindia Targoviste
2W-2D-0L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.81 xG 0.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2022 Chindia Targoviste Chindia Targoviste 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
29.07.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-0 HT 0-0 Chindia Targoviste Chindia Targoviste ROM
05.02.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 Chindia Targoviste Chindia Targoviste ROM
18.09.2021 Chindia Targoviste Chindia Targoviste 2-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
POST-MATCH Chindia Targoviste vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chindia Targoviste and SSC Farul couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Farul at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chindia Targoviste had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chindia Targoviste and 0.25 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Chindia Targoviste vs SSC Farul?

Chindia Targoviste 3-3 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division Play-Out on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chindia Targoviste vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated an SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chindia Targoviste 31%, draw 19%, SSC Farul 50%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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