Northern Virginia 3-3 Loudoun United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
78%
-8.8pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.4pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United II EU Bookmakers 12%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Loudoun United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Virginia and Loudoun United II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Northern Virginia carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Loudoun United II?

Northern Virginia 3-3 Loudoun United II in the USA - USL League 2 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Loudoun United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 69%, draw 17%, Loudoun United II 15%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northern Virginia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northern Virginia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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