Arameiska / Syrianska 3-1 Nacka Iliria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arameiska / Syrianska EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 29%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.41/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.45
-28% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arameiska / Syrianska
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nacka Iliria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.09.2023 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria 3-1 HT 1-0 Arameiska / Syrianska Arameiska / Syrianska İSÇ4
21.05.2023 Arameiska / Syrianska Arameiska / Syrianska 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Arameiska / Syrianska vs Nacka Iliria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arameiska / Syrianska beat Nacka Iliria 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arameiska / Syrianska as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arameiska / Syrianska and 2.00 for Nacka Iliria.

What was the final score of Arameiska / Syrianska vs Nacka Iliria?

Arameiska / Syrianska 3-1 Nacka Iliria in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arameiska / Syrianska vs Nacka Iliria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arameiska / Syrianska win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arameiska / Syrianska 44%, draw 22%, Nacka Iliria 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arameiska / Syrianska) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arameiska / Syrianska) ✗ Under 2.5
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