Reynir Sandgerdi 1-1 KF Fjallabyggdar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.38
No
47%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reynir Sandgerdi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY KF Fjallabyggdar EU Bookmakers 31%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.72/3.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.37
-65% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reynir Sandgerdi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KF Fjallabyggdar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
10.09.2022 KF Fjallabyggdar KF Fjallabyggdar 8-3 HT 0-0 Reynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi İZL2
02.07.2022 Reynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi 1-1 HT 1-1 KF Fjallabyggdar KF Fjallabyggdar İZL2
POST-MATCH Reynir Sandgerdi vs KF Fjallabyggdar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reynir Sandgerdi and KF Fjallabyggdar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Reynir Sandgerdi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KF Fjallabyggdar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Reynir Sandgerdi and 4.50 for KF Fjallabyggdar.

What was the final score of Reynir Sandgerdi vs KF Fjallabyggdar?

Reynir Sandgerdi 1-1 KF Fjallabyggdar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reynir Sandgerdi vs KF Fjallabyggdar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reynir Sandgerdi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Reynir Sandgerdi 43%, draw 32%, KF Fjallabyggdar 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Reynir Sandgerdi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reynir Sandgerdi) ✓ BTTS Yes
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