Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 23 Jun 2024

Moreton City Excelsior
3-0 HT 2-0
Gold Coast United
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2024

Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreton City Excelsior v Gold Coast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 21.9
– Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior ran out comfortable winners over Gold Coast United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Moreton City Excelsior found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United?

Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 Gold Coast United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 39%, draw 24%, Gold Coast United 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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