Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

Dnepr Mogilev
1-2 HT 0-1
Vitebsk
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.78
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 35% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-9.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dnepr Mogilev v Vitebsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.77
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR1
10.09.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
02.05.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
06.12.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR

Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 Vitebsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1-2
AWAY Vitebsk
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk edged past Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vitebsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 46% of the ball to Vitebsk's 54%, shots finished 3-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.00 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 32%, draw 32%, Vitebsk 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitebsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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