Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.58
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.00/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.25
-27% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
241 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
296 Passes 275
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
05.07.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
12.04.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-2 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
25.09.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
17.04.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
06.12.2020 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Mito HollyHock
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis nicked a narrow win over Mito HollyHock 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Tokushima Vortis made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 56% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 44%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.50 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Mito HollyHock?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 40%, draw 26%, Mito HollyHock 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
23 Jun 2024
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →