Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.61
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +112%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
24.06.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-2 HT 0-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
3-0
AWAY Nara Club
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu swept aside Nara Club 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Azul Claro Numazu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 53% of the ball to Nara Club's 47%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 0.50 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club?

Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 41%, draw 27%, Nara Club 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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