Consadole Sapporo 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 Jun 2024

Consadole Sapporo
0-1 HT 0-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.42
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.47
1/2
7%
20.7
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.7
X/1
12%
7.15
X/2
14%
4.83
X/X
9%
6.26
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
20%
2.62
2/X
4%
13.6
Value flag · 1/X at 13.7 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Consadole Sapporo v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 50%
-15% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.28/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.66
-10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.2 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.21 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 448
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
10.09.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
06.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
24.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
05.04.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 2-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
12.03.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Consadole Sapporo 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
0-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.90 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
356 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Consadole Sapporo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 49% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 51%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.90 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 2.17 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Consadole Sapporo 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 35%, draw 24%, Yokohama F. Marinos 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →