23/06/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Djerv vs Asane II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
28%
Draw
20%
24%
Away Win
23%
33%
Under 2.5
28%
67%
Over 2.5
72%
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
36%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Djerv v Asane II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Djerv
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Asane II
EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-30% /
-30%
2.88/1.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
+21%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-40%
/
+13%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
408 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Djerv vs Asane II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Djerv cruised past Asane II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Djerv as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.
What was the final score of Djerv vs Asane II?
Djerv 4-0 Asane II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Djerv vs Asane II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Djerv win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Djerv 49%, draw 28%, Asane II 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djerv), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Djerv)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
23 Jun 2024