Helsingborgs IF 5-1 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.99
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.88
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
21%
4.08
X/2
9%
11.9
X/X
7%
6.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.15
2/2
12%
9.46
2/X
7%
18.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.27
-20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF swept aside Umea FC 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Helsingborgs IF as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Umea FC?

Helsingborgs IF 5-1 Umea FC in the Sweden - Superettan on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 53%, draw 19%, Umea FC 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helsingborgs IF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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