Raufoss 0-3 Levanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.73
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
3.26
6+ Goals
7%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Levanger EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.17/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.06
-23% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Levanger
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
23.10.2016 Raufoss Raufoss 0-6 HT 0-3 Levanger Levanger NOR1
08.05.2016 Levanger Levanger 3-0 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raufoss
0-3
AWAY Levanger
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Levanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levanger cruised past Raufoss 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Levanger found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Raufoss had 53% of the ball to Levanger's 47%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Levanger led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Raufoss and 4.50 for Levanger.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Levanger?

Raufoss 0-3 Levanger in the Norway - 1st Division on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Levanger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 35%, draw 29%, Levanger 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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