Shelbourne 0-3 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-13.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.76
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
0-3
AWAY Karabağ
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ swept aside Shelbourne 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 52% of the ball to Karabağ's 48%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Karabağ?

Shelbourne 0-3 Karabağ in the Champions League on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 28%, draw 27%, Karabağ 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
23 Jul 2025
20:00 Brann vs Salzburg Analysis →