South Hobart vs South Melbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities
South Hobart v South Melbourne — Team-Based Signals
South Hobart 1-2 South Melbourne — Actual Match Statistics
South Melbourne found just enough to beat South Hobart 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
The match data tells the story: South Melbourne saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.72 to 2.24 — on chances created, South Melbourne won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
South Hobart vs South Melbourne Result & Final Score
South Hobart 1 - 2 South Melbourne in the Australia - FFA Cup on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
South Hobart vs South Melbourne Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 15%, draw 15%, South Melbourne 70%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.