South Hobart 1-2 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.09
Draw
15%
4.81
Away Pick
70%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
1%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME South Hobart The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne The Market 70%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
Attack Strength
Defense Strength
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Hobart
1 - 2
AWAY South Melbourne
0.72 xG 2.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
137 Passes 220
53% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 37
5 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW South Hobart vs South Melbourne
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

South Melbourne found just enough to beat South Hobart 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: South Melbourne saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.72 to 2.24 — on chances created, South Melbourne won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

South Hobart vs South Melbourne Result & Final Score

South Hobart 1 - 2 South Melbourne in the Australia - FFA Cup on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

South Hobart vs South Melbourne Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 15%, draw 15%, South Melbourne 70%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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