Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Aug 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
0-2 HT 0-1
Leeds United
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
28%
3.42
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.47
6+
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.8
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1 ✗
16%
7.88
X/2
10%
4.47
X/X
9%
4.65
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.59
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · X/1 at 7.88 — our 16% vs market 9.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
25%
+13.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
48%
-13.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United The Market 52%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.21/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.94
+17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +8%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
198 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.4 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Leeds United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 1.65
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
195 Passes 395
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
02.09.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
11.01.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 0-2 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
26.10.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
13.04.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
28.09.2018 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
0-2
AWAY Leeds United
0.43 xG 1.19
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
216 Passes 599
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United got the better of Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Leeds United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 31% of the ball to Leeds United's 69%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.43 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 0.67 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds United?

Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 39%, draw 27%, Leeds United 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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